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"Not imminent" seems a sound conclusion, tho manmade disasters are always unexpected till they happen. What's positive is in Singapore an at-least temporary alignment of nations likely to deter Armageddon-minded players took shape. More such smart diplomacy and footwork will be welcome amid the uncertainties about a possible change of US president; and the vital matter of ensuring that continental Europe has really understood the necessity of doing the right thing by Ukraine as it should sine die and especially in its time of need i.e. now.

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Have you read The Great Illusion by Norman Angell? I wonder how your prediction (hope?) would square with his written in 1909?

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